Trust Tuberville’s blockade of promotions is over. “The established nuclear order is under significant stress,” she adds – first from the nuclear-weapons states, for whom “nonproliferation no longer seems to be the global and uniting priority that it has been,” and then from regional powers who see a less secure world and wonder if they might need their own nukes after all. “We’re certainly at an inflection point, and not a very reassuring one,” says Kelsey Davenport, director for nonproliferation policy at the Arms Control Association in Washington. allies and partners of a less reliable American nuclear umbrella, and a multipolar world of “middle powers” – like South Korea – considering their own nuclear deterrence. The causes: China’s rapid rise to “near-peer” status, perceptions among U.S. Indeed, after decades of nuclear nonproliferation consensus and arms control efforts, many experts place the world on the doorstep of what could be a new era of proliferation. The top billing accorded nuclear weapons as President Yoon sits down with President Joe Biden reflects the rapid rise to prominence of what many experts refer to as a third nuclear age after first, the frightening U.S.-Soviet arms race, and then, an expansion of the nuclear club that included China, India and Pakistan, and Israel. Amid concerns about America’s nuclear umbrella and China’s rapid rise toward parity with the United States and Russia, the world could be on the doorstep of a fresh era of nuclear proliferation.
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